Frame-Switching: The Hidden Pattern in Pointless Arguments

The One-Inch Frame Two friends argue heatedly about whether a hot dog is a sandwich. One insists it is—bread on both sides, filling in the middle. The other insists it isn't—ask any deli. After twenty minutes, neither has moved an inch. How to Disagree About Categories In March 2008, Paul Graham published "How to Disagree," … Continue reading Frame-Switching: The Hidden Pattern in Pointless Arguments

The Resulting Fallacy Is Ruining Your Decisions – Issue 55: Trust – Nautilus

"In life, it’s usually even more complicated because in most real decisions we haven’t examined the coin. We don’t know if it is a fair coin, if it has two sides with a heads and tails on it and is weighted properly. That’s the hidden information problem. We can’t see everything. We haven’t experienced everything. … Continue reading The Resulting Fallacy Is Ruining Your Decisions – Issue 55: Trust – Nautilus

Simpson’s Paradox

"Simpson's paradox (or Simpson's reversal, Yule–Simpson effect, amalgamation paradox, or reversal paradox), is a phenomenon in probability and statistics, in which a trend appears in several different groups of data but disappears or reverses when these groups are combined. —s.v. Simpson's Paradox, Wikipedia. An example using arithmetic from the Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy: 1/5 < … Continue reading Simpson’s Paradox