Post-mortem of "Colombia 2026 Election: Falsification Matrix" (registered 2026-01-26,building on "A Constraint Story: Why Colombia's Election Defies Standard Forecasting,"2026-01-17). Scored 2026-08-18 against the matrix's own pre-registered thresholds.Mechanical resolution first; interpretation separated and marked. Resolution data First round, May 31, 2026 (turnout 57.89%): Candidate%Abelardo de la Espriella (ind.)43.75Iván Cepeda (Historic Pact)40.90Paloma Valencia (Democratic Centre)6.92Sergio Fajardo (Dignity … Continue reading Colombia 2026: Scoring the Falsification Matrix
Category: writing
Note: No Posts During the Month of September 2026
For the month of September 2026, I'm going to break from posting. I want to spend some time thinking about what this blog is for and what might change, which might be nothing. During the month, anything I might have wanted to publish will be scheduled for October.
