Related to yesterday's post, where the ideas are of a piece: "Kathryn Schulz loosely defines being wrong “as a deviation from external reality, or an internal upheaval in what we believe” — with the caveat that wrongness is too vast to fit neatly into either category.......“We’re highly motivated to reduce that uncertainty,” Fetterman says. “Oftentimes, … Continue reading How to Admit You’re Wrong
Tag: error
The Dunning-Kruger Effect Is Probably Not Real
"For an effect of human psychology to be real, it cannot be rigorously replicated using random noise. If the human brain was predisposed to choose heads when a coin is flipped, you could compare this to random predictions (heads or tails) made by a computer and see the bias. A human would call more heads … Continue reading The Dunning-Kruger Effect Is Probably Not Real
