Why the argument about how capable AI is turns out to be a reading we already have, not a gap we have yet to close. Ask ten people when machine intelligence becomes general and you get a spread of dates. Ask a hundred, and the natural expectation is that the spread tightens — the way … Continue reading The Disagreement Is the Measurement
Tag: forecasting
The Robustness Is the Tell
Note: Commentary on Nebel, A., Kling, A., Willamowski, R., & Schell, T. (2024). Recalibration of limits to growth: An update of the World3 model. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 28, 87–99. https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.13442 What the World3 recalibration proves, and the one thing it cannot Nebel, Kling, Willamowski and Schell did something the Limits to Growth literature had … Continue reading The Robustness Is the Tell
