Suggestions for improving forecasting and communication about it: Use probabilities instead of words to avoid misinterpretation Use structured approaches to set probabilities Seek feedback to improve your forecasting —Andrew Mauboussin and Michael J. Mauboussin. "If You Say Something Is “Likely,” How Likely Do People Think It Is?" Harvard Business Review. July 3, 2018. Sites like … Continue reading If You Say Something Is “Likely,” How Likely Do People Think It Is?
Tag: communication
The Problem With Talking, Illustrated Via The Law Enforcement Interview
"You, dear readers, know my advice about talking to the FBI: don't. If the FBI — or any law enforcement agency — asks to talk to you, say 'No, I want to talk to my lawyer, I don't want to talk to you,' and repeat as necessary. Do not talk to them 'just to see … Continue reading The Problem With Talking, Illustrated Via The Law Enforcement Interview
