Maes-Garreau law

"The Maes–Garreau law is the statement that 'most favorable predictions about future technology will fall within the Maes–Garreau point', defined as 'the latest possible date a prediction can come true and still remain in the lifetime of the person making it'.[1] Specifically, it relates to predictions of a technological singularity or other radical future technologies.[1]" -Wikipedia contributors, "Maes–Garreau law," Wikipedia, The … Continue reading Maes-Garreau law

The Campsite Rule

“Tell no lies; make no outsize promises; transmit no infections. Ideally, everyone would leave everyone in better shape than when they found them.” —Dan Savage quoted in Lila Shapiro, "The Age Gappers." The Cut. December 20, 2023.

Generalizing the 5/10/15 Rule for U.S. Drug Development, Or The Cycle of the New

"U.S. drug development cycle, which he says “always follows the 5/10/15 rule. For the first 5 years, companies hype new drugs; next 5 years all hidden side effects are exposed, leading to black-box warnings and class action lawsuits; in [the] last 5 years, the companies start dissing their own old drug as the patent runs … Continue reading Generalizing the 5/10/15 Rule for U.S. Drug Development, Or The Cycle of the New

Zuihitsu, 2022-06

Technically, zuihitsu are longer reflections than what I tend to collect. But, the general idea is right. Here's this month's installment. If you want the complete set, please download the fortune file. Cocaine is a drug for the lonely.Problems that remain persistently insoluble should always be suspected as questions asked in the wrong way.—Alan WattsThere's … Continue reading Zuihitsu, 2022-06

Zuihitsu: 2022-05

Technically, zuihitsu are longer reflections than what I tend to collect. But, the general idea is right. Here's this month's installment. If you want the complete set, please download the fortune file. Architecture is what you do with the potential of life. —Sir Peter CookSpecialization tends to shut off the wide-band tuning searches and thus … Continue reading Zuihitsu: 2022-05

Zuihitsu: 2022-04

Technically, zuihitsu are longer reflections than what I tend to collect. But, the general idea is right. Here's this month's installment. If you want the complete set, please download the fortune file. 1. I tell you: one must have chaos in oneself to give birth to a dancing star.—Thus Spoke Zarathustra by Friedrich Nietzsche2. Build, test, and … Continue reading Zuihitsu: 2022-04