Portugal 2026: Fragmentation Marsh with Rejection Runoff

Electoral Constraint Topology Analysis Classification: Fragmentation Marsh → Rejection RunoffDate: January 27, 2026Status: First round complete (Jan 18, 2026), Runoff pending (Feb 8, 2026)Confidence: High (actual electoral results available) Executive Summary Portugal 2026 represents a fifth distinct electoral archetype in the constraint topology framework: Fragmentation Marsh with Rejection Runoff mechanism. Unlike the four previously documented … Continue reading Portugal 2026: Fragmentation Marsh with Rejection Runoff

When the Tower Can’t Be Rebuilt: What Institutional Economics Misses About the Next Decade

Rebecca Patterson's recent New York Times essay uses a Jenga tower as a metaphor for the American economy in 2025. Blocks are being removed—small businesses cutting jobs, federal layoffs, consumption concentrating among the wealthy—while AI companies pile massive investments on top. Eventually, she warns, Jenga towers fall down. She's right about the instability. But the … Continue reading When the Tower Can’t Be Rebuilt: What Institutional Economics Misses About the Next Decade