Why the argument about how capable AI is turns out to be a reading we already have, not a gap we have yet to close. Ask ten people when machine intelligence becomes general and you get a spread of dates. Ask a hundred, and the natural expectation is that the spread tightens — the way … Continue reading The Disagreement Is the Measurement
Tag: machine learning
The Far Half of the Nose: What the Meta-Nose Can’t Compress
Bill Buxton's "long nose of innovation" is the standard antidote to breakthrough mythology. A technology that seems to arrive overnight has almost always been gestating, quietly and invisibly, for decades — a long flat nose — before it reaches the steep cliff of adoption that everyone mistakes for the invention. The mouse took roughly thirty … Continue reading The Far Half of the Nose: What the Meta-Nose Can’t Compress
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