"During the 2020s, key technologies will converge to completely disrupt the five foundational sectors that underpin the global economy, and with them every major industry in the world today. The knock-on effects for society will be as profound as the extraordinary possibilities that emerge.In information, energy, food, transportation, and materials, costs will fall by 10x or … Continue reading The Age of Freedom, RethinkX
Tag: forecasts
U.S. COVID-19: The Long Plateau
https://www.twitter.com/trvrb/status/1255976675252158465 Trevor Bedford is a scientist that studies viruses. Worth checking out the whole thread.
The Psychology of Prediction · Collaborative Fund
"The correct lesson to learn from surprises is that the world is surprising." —Morgan Housel. "The Psychology of Prediction." Collaborative Fund. July 21, 2019.
If You Say Something Is “Likely,” How Likely Do People Think It Is?
Suggestions for improving forecasting and communication about it: Use probabilities instead of words to avoid misinterpretation Use structured approaches to set probabilities Seek feedback to improve your forecasting —Andrew Mauboussin and Michael J. Mauboussin. "If You Say Something Is “Likely,” How Likely Do People Think It Is?" Harvard Business Review. July 3, 2018. Sites like … Continue reading If You Say Something Is “Likely,” How Likely Do People Think It Is?
cafebedouin.org 