Bill Buxton's "long nose of innovation" is the standard antidote to breakthrough mythology. A technology that seems to arrive overnight has almost always been gestating, quietly and invisibly, for decades — a long flat nose — before it reaches the steep cliff of adoption that everyone mistakes for the invention. The mouse took roughly thirty … Continue reading The Far Half of the Nose: What the Meta-Nose Can’t Compress
Tag: drug discovery
The Exciting Phase
Every measurement shortcut follows a recognizable sequence. First comes the exciting phase: a new tool produces results at a scale and speed impossible with previous methods. Papers accumulate. Discoveries multiply. Funding follows. Careers are built on throughput. The shortcut becomes normal before its failure modes are fully understood. Then comes the reckoning. Not a scandal … Continue reading The Exciting Phase
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